I'm not against the idea of us using our 2nd first round pick to pick our QB. Just that we need to move on from a third tier QB.
I still think Williams gives you the best shot needed to have a top 10 QB. Stats show taking a QB at #1 is far better than any other spot.
So true about a QB winning a SuperBowl and being the 1st overall pick. Stafford did it but with a different team in 2022 and before him would have been David Carr and Eli Manning in 04 with the Giants but technically they were both drafted by different teams as well.
I'm a Fields guy, but I think the infrastructure here is LIGHT YEARS better than what Fields came into if we were to draft Caleb. He's got a legit #1 receiver, he's got a legit tight end, and he's got a decent to good o-line that could be very good if they address the center position. He will also be getting an experienced play caller with a track record of results. Fields had none of that.
There's something we can agree upon.
No one disputes that Justin didn't get drafted into a good situation (I won't rehash again why Pace/Nagy shouldn't have been allowed to make the pick in the first place). What's been disappointing has been the amount of his improvement since. As you just said, he had a "decent to good o-line", a legit #1 WR, and a legit TE this past season.
I wonder if folks realize that fully half of JF's TD passes the whole season happened in just two games against bad defenses--Denver and Washington. In the other 11 games, he had only 8 passing TDs total.
Sorry, guys, but that's a pretty brutal stat.
Here's another thing: Those that want to "build around Justin", cite the 'haul' of picks we'd be getting from trading #1. Well, you can't trade down past #3 if you want to draft Harrison. Let's say you get a 2nd and next years 1st for that -- an overpay but let's just say for argument's sake. The 1st wouldn't help us this year and the 2nd is the same you'd likely get by just trading him. Even if you want to trade further down for a true 'haul' this year, you're just assuming all those extra picks are gonna hit. Well, they didn't hit for the Raiders when they traded Mack to us so what makes you so sure you're gonna automatically "build a great team" around Fields?
I'm trusting Poles record thus far of drafting over Mayocks. Which is also why I've been saying I'll trust whatever Poles decides to do...to me he's earned that so far.
No one disputes that Justin didn't get drafted into a good situation (I won't rehash again why Pace/Nagy shouldn't have been allowed to make the pick in the first place). What's been disappointing has been the amount of his improvement since. As you just said, he had a "decent to good o-line", a legit #1 WR, and a legit TE this past season.
I wonder if folks realize that fully half of JF's TD passes the whole season happened in just two games against bad defenses--Denver and Washington. In the other 11 games, he had only 8 passing TDs total.
Sorry, guys, but that's a pretty brutal stat.
Here's another thing: Those that want to "build around Justin", cite the 'haul' of picks we'd be getting from trading #1. Well, you can't trade down past #3 if you want to draft Harrison. Let's say you get a 2nd and next years 1st for that -- an overpay but let's just say for argument's sake. The 1st wouldn't help us this year and the 2nd is the same you'd likely get by just trading him. Even if you want to trade further down for a true 'haul' this year, you're just assuming all those extra picks are gonna hit. Well, they didn't hit for the Raiders when they traded Mack to us so what makes you so sure you're gonna automatically "build a great team" around Fields?
I'm trusting Poles record thus far of drafting over Mayocks. Which is also why I've been saying I'll trust whatever Poles decides to do...to me he's earned that so far.
That's exactly where I am at on this. So far Poles has done well. Not perfect, but he has done a great job overall.
From their web page, they say they combine time-to-throw, ball velocity, and accuracy when throwing under pressure. Nix 91% is the highest in this draft class. CJ Stroud was 87% last year.
Nix has improved, but wasn’t bad at Auburn. He was 9-4 as freshman starter. He beat Alabama and LSU. He had only 10 games one year b/c season-ending injury. No character issues or anything like that.
He also never threw for more than 2500 yards at Auburn. His production at Oregon SMOKES everything he did at Auburn...yardage, TD's, all went way up...INT's stayed the same. Perhaps its as simple as being around competent coaching and having some weapons being the cause of the improvement...which to some around here sounds like an impossibility...but can happen!! LOL
As for that stat...I wonder how they're getting the velocity of the ball. I'm not aware of that being measured in the games...but maybe it is and we just don't know it.
He started as a freshman. So factor in some inexperience and youth. Probably better coaching and players at Oregon. They nearly won PAC-12 championship.
I'm trusting Poles record thus far of drafting over Mayocks. Which is also why I've been saying I'll trust whatever Poles decides to do...to me he's earned that so far.
That's exactly where I am at on this. So far Poles has done well. Not perfect, but he has done a great job overall.
Poles missed on Carter and Stroud. That will be his legacy unless Bears are Super Bowl ready by 2025. If that happens, I’ll get on your bandwagon. If not, I’ll invite you to join mine.
I'm a Fields guy, but I think the infrastructure here is LIGHT YEARS better than what Fields came into if we were to draft Caleb. He's got a legit #1 receiver, he's got a legit tight end, and he's got a decent to good o-line that could be very good if they address the center position. He will also be getting an experienced play caller with a track record of results. Fields had none of that.
There's something we can agree upon.
No one disputes that Justin didn't get drafted into a good situation (I won't rehash again why Pace/Nagy shouldn't have been allowed to make the pick in the first place). What's been disappointing has been the amount of his improvement since. As you just said, he had a "decent to good o-line", a legit #1 WR, and a legit TE this past season.
I wonder if folks realize that fully half of JF's TD passes the whole season happened in just two games against bad defenses--Denver and Washington. In the other 11 games, he had only 8 passing TDs total.
Sorry, guys, but that's a pretty brutal stat.
Here's another thing: Those that want to "build around Justin", cite the 'haul' of picks we'd be getting from trading #1. Well, you can't trade down past #3 if you want to draft Harrison. Let's say you get a 2nd and next years 1st for that -- an overpay but let's just say for argument's sake. The 1st wouldn't help us this year and the 2nd is the same you'd likely get by just trading him. Even if you want to trade further down for a true 'haul' this year, you're just assuming all those extra picks are gonna hit. Well, they didn't hit for the Raiders when they traded Mack to us so what makes you so sure you're gonna automatically "build a great team" around Fields?
Exactly. I think it would be more of getting MHJ vs not getting him. Then using the second pick on a DE or 3T. Then going into the 2nd round getting a C and filling other needs. Trading JF would not have the same results. We would use the top pick on a QB rather than MHJ. We would, however get additional picks for JF, so that would offset the loss of MHJ. It still keeps coming back to whether or not we can win a SB with JH or not. That is not clear. We can't the way things are. I think that's clear. I'm not sure about the answer after we replace the OC, other QB and WR related coaches, add another top WR, and fix the OL. I am hopeful that we can with that.
I'm trusting Poles record thus far of drafting over Mayocks. Which is also why I've been saying I'll trust whatever Poles decides to do...to me he's earned that so far.
That's exactly where I am at on this. So far Poles has done well. Not perfect, but he has done a great job overall.
I don't dispute that thus far Poles has drafted well. Even when David complains.
His only real mistake in the draft was Velus and his only real mistake outside of it was Claypool. Admittedly, the CC trade was a bad miss but I get that it happens and they were desperate at the time.
Still, assuming that the "extra picks" they would get from keeping Fields are going to make a huge difference seems like a stretch to me. Remember we are likely to get a 2nd for trading Fields and still have the #9 pick too.
Even the most ardent Fields-fans admit that he has serious flaws as a passer and that he would need a really good team around him to be successful. That's threading a tight needle to me.
Not always, but more often than not, he who has the better QB wins the game. Especially in clutch time in the 4th Q and that's when Justin has been at his worst so far.
No one disputes that Justin didn't get drafted into a good situation (I won't rehash again why Pace/Nagy shouldn't have been allowed to make the pick in the first place). What's been disappointing has been the amount of his improvement since. As you just said, he had a "decent to good o-line", a legit #1 WR, and a legit TE this past season.
I wonder if folks realize that fully half of JF's TD passes the whole season happened in just two games against bad defenses--Denver and Washington. In the other 11 games, he had only 8 passing TDs total.
Sorry, guys, but that's a pretty brutal stat.
Here's another thing: Those that want to "build around Justin", cite the 'haul' of picks we'd be getting from trading #1. Well, you can't trade down past #3 if you want to draft Harrison. Let's say you get a 2nd and next years 1st for that -- an overpay but let's just say for argument's sake. The 1st wouldn't help us this year and the 2nd is the same you'd likely get by just trading him. Even if you want to trade further down for a true 'haul' this year, you're just assuming all those extra picks are gonna hit. Well, they didn't hit for the Raiders when they traded Mack to us so what makes you so sure you're gonna automatically "build a great team" around Fields?
Exactly. I think it would be more of getting MHJ vs not getting him. Then using the second pick on a DE or 3T. Then going into the 2nd round getting a C and filling other needs. Trading JF would not have the same results. We would use the top pick on a QB rather than MHJ. We would, however get additional picks for JF, so that would offset the loss of MHJ. It still keeps coming back to whether or not we can win a SB with JH or not. That is not clear. We can't the way things are. I think that's clear. I'm not sure about the answer after we replace the OC, other QB and WR related coaches, add another top WR, and fix the OL. I am hopeful that we can with that.
It's too early for me to take mock draft scenarios seriously but lets just say...
We draft QB at #1
At #9, we draft Odunze if he's there. If not, we trade down as far as we can get. This WR class is DEEP. There's a lotta guys who should do well as a #2 opposite DJ Moore. As Ric has pointed out, lots and lots of really good WRs get drafted in the late-1st and 2nd rounds. Doesn't have to be top-10 pick.
That trade should get you an extra 2nd or 2-3rds at the very least. Trading Justin will get you a 2nd as well.
That means after drafting CW, you'd still have a 1st and 3 Day2 picks left. It could be 4 if Cunningham gets hired here shortly.
I would hope Poles is looking to add a vet C in FA (adding maybe a 3rd round pick to develop behind him) and a blue-chip defensive player. He has the $ to sign JJ and add two solid vets with a rookie QB on a cheap 4 year deal.
He also never threw for more than 2500 yards at Auburn. His production at Oregon SMOKES everything he did at Auburn...yardage, TD's, all went way up...INT's stayed the same. Perhaps its as simple as being around competent coaching and having some weapons being the cause of the improvement...which to some around here sounds like an impossibility...but can happen!! LOL
As for that stat...I wonder how they're getting the velocity of the ball. I'm not aware of that being measured in the games...but maybe it is and we just don't know it.
He started as a freshman. So factor in some inexperience and youth. Probably better coaching and players at Oregon. They nearly won PAC-12 championship.
That's exactly where I am at on this. So far Poles has done well. Not perfect, but he has done a great job overall.
Poles missed on Carter and Stroud. That will be his legacy unless Bears are Super Bowl ready by 2025. If that happens, I’ll get on your bandwagon. If not, I’ll invite you to join mine.
Poles didn't miss on either of them. Stroud was long gone by time we picked and Carter didn't have the "Warren Sapp 2.0" season you kept on saying he was going to have. He was barely on the field, and Kobe Turner, who was drafted in the 3rd round, SMOKED him in production! I know you'll bring up Carters PFF score...but that doesn't help you win games...production does.
His legacy is he traded the #1 pick for a HAUL that included DJ Moore, All Rookie Team Member Darnell Wright, Bears Rookie of the Year, winner of NFC Defensive Player of the Week, Defensive Rookie of the Year Candidate Tyrique Stevenson, this years #1 pick which will likely be one of the most highly regarded QB's since Andrew Luck in Caleb Williams, and a 2nd round pick next year. Thats a HELLUVA legacy!!!