Post by mpbears68 on Jan 11, 2024 12:48:51 GMT -6
I'm not concerned about him being a total bust. There is always the risk of any draft pick being a bust. Obviously the higher the pick, the worse it looks if it happens. It's just that he seems to be incapable of winning a big game against a quality defense. And his decision making when under a strong rush could use a lot of improvement. Not exactly the traits I expect form a truly "generational prospect".
If you restrict your statistical research on QBs to exclusively the passing game, Penix is head and shoulders better than any other prospect in the 2024 draft class. My research shows two distinct drawbacks in his college career.
First, he missed a load of games while playing in Indiana. He had several surgeries including 2 ACLs and serious injuries to both shoulders (link). Both shoulder injries were serious separations but I am not sure if they were surgically repaired or not.
Second, his running stats as a college QB are almost nonexistent. I like to see some running success as I tend to view it as an indirect index into the guy's mobility and ability to escape pressure.
Fir the Bears vetted him on both and wanted to take Penix, I'd be cool with it. As I said his passing performance is off the charts and it is just the other two things that keep me off his bandwagon.
And get disappointed every year.
No joke, this is a true story:
We are in a bar at SF pregame week 1 this year. Everyone's excited for the game and nervous at the same time cuz its the Packers and we haven't been able to beat them in forever. I blurt out: "We are at the turning point right here! Fields domination over Love starts TODAY!!!"
Three hours later.......whoops, guess not.