Yesterday at 9:35 AM, I got a call from a very well-known and accurate NFL "Insider." The first thing he said to me was, "Do you know what Jaylon Johnson is looking for?" I told him no, but I assumed it was a very high figure. He said the word around the League is that he is looking for a contract similar to what the Cowboys' Travon Diggs received this summer.
Good luck with that. Here are some comparative career stats between the two. In the columns below, the first row of stats is for JJ and the second is for Diggs. Looks like Diggs has a lot more picks, has way more pass defenses and tackles. But IMO the big number is interceptions. Just as a guess from looking at the stats, Diggs is also better against the run as well as being a real ball hawk in comparison to JJ.
JJ is on record saying he isn't trying to break record money. Wouldn't be surprised the Bears gave him a super low ball offer like 15 million.
Here is the thing. What else are we going to spend that money on? We missed out on a few good FA's like Orlando that would of been a huge difference maker for us. You got to pay for talent at the end of the day.
I am hoping both guys get extended. At some point, if you don't want to continue having a crap team, you do have to invest in key positions. Edge and CB are two of those key positions. Don't do some crazy overpaying, but at the same time you have to realize there IS a cost to doing business here with these key positions. You don't do this with positions like RB. But edge and CB, you need to open up and pay good money for good players - and especially in JJ's case, a guy you drafted. If a team doesn't have at least a few of these success stories then hey, you're failing, right?
This whole article is just about Sweat and Johnson. Seems important!
PFF: Players in line for midseason extensions after the 2023 NFL trade deadline by Brad Spielberger
Sweat has the highest run-defense grade among all edge defenders since 2020 (90.5). Sweat’s lowest snap count in a season for his career is 483 snaps in 2021, with at least 693 in his three other campaigns. Gary has reached the 483 mark only once in four seasons to this point, and his run-defense grade since 2021 is 68.4.
This is not to say Sweat can’t rush the passer — far from it. Since 2022, Sweat’s 89 pressures rank 11th among edge defenders, his 13.6% pressure rate ranks 25th among edge rushers with at least 250 pass-rush snaps and his 14.5 sacks rank tied for 13th.
With the added leverage of Chicago moving what figures to be a top-40 draft pick for his services, here’s where we see a deal ending up.
Contract projection: Four years, $100 million ($25 million per year), $70 million total guaranteed
So far in 2023, Johnson’s 85.8 coverage grade is the third-best mark in the NFL. He is allowing just a 42.3% completion rate, which ranks fifth, and 0.55 yards per coverage snap, which ranks seventh. Johnson has never surrendered a 60.0%-plus completion rate in a season. Last but certainly not least, Johnson has not benefited at all over the past two seasons from the defensive line in front of him. It’s the exact opposite, as the Bears are generating pressure less often than any other team over the span.
While we’re not at all sure Chicago would agree to the below, here’s around where we think Jaylon Johnson would like to end up. Players often care most about the total value or average per year and how that stacks up across the position, but as we illustrated above, those figures do not perfectly capture the strength of a contract on their own.
Contract projection: Five years, $95 million ($19 million per year), $47.5 million total guaranteed
Believe we just made Sweat 5th highest paid DE. He is in top 10 DEs imo, so not far off.
Kind of how this goes, in 2 years he'll be well outside of the 5th, and in 4 years he'll likely be close to or outside of the 10th.
Gary has 27 sacks in 5 years and just got extended this year 4 years 96mil 24mil aav. Sweat has 35 sacks in 5 years and his contract is 105mil 24.5 aav. Sweat also has more TFL, more solo tackles, more total tackles, laughably more qb hits and more passes defended.
Gary is listed on the GB Packers website depth chart as an OLB not DL or DE. That means pass rusher OR edge setter/run stopper( ie LFloyd w/the Bears). Spot trac has him listed as a DL in their ranking of contracts.
for those like me, who cannot see x posts on their pc:
"After the #Bears signed Montez Sweat for $24.5 million AAV, they still have a ton of cap space left for 2024. If Sweat's 2024 cap hit is $24.5M (it'll be a bit cheaper), they have just over $82M left to spend. That leaves opportunity for signings like: • CB Jaylon Johnson: $18M AAV • EDGE Josh Uche: $12M AAV • C Connor Williams: $13.M AAV
They can afford all of those signings and a handful of quality depth additions, too. I'll do a full mock offseason later, but this FA approach opens things up to attack offense in the draft. If you keep Justin Fields at QB, you could end up with two of Marvin Harrison Jr., Olu Fashanu, Brock Bowers or Joe Alt. Hell, a different WR like Keon Coleman could be a good target, too. If you want to move on from Fields, trade him and recoup some of that draft capital you lost trading for Sweat. Draft Caleb Williams or Drake Maye with your first pick (I think J.J. McCarthy could be a nice target later in the top 10, too) and give them a star WR or OT.
TLDR: Ryan Poles has a lot of flexibility for the Bears to get significantly better this offseason. A coaching change is an important move to make, but the FA flexibility is huge, too."
But the cap and the extensions will be 40% it's to much, or some made up BS people want to bitch and complain about.
2. 2023 base salary: $1.15 million, fully guaranteed.
3. 2024 base salary: $20.9 million, fully guaranteed.
4. 2024 workout bonus: $100,000.
5. 2025 base salary, $20.9 million, guaranteed for injury at signing, fully guaranteed on the third day of the 2024 league year.
6. 2025 workout bonus: $100,000.
7. 2026 base salary: $20.9 million, $10 million of which is guaranteed for injury at signing and becomes fully guaranteed on the third day of the 2026 league year.
8. 2026 workout bonus: $100,000.
9. 2027 base salary: $18.9 million.
10. 2027 offseason 90-man roster bonus: $2 million total.
11. 2027 workout bonus: $100,000.
Within 30 days of signing, $9.875 million of the signing bonus will be paid. Another $9.875 million will be paid on or about March 31, 2024. The amount reflecting his 17th game check ($676,471) also will be paid on or about March 31, 2024.