Anyone finding they're warming to the Bears drafting Caleb?
Feb 11, 2024 20:21:08 GMT -6
shark86 likes this
Post by JABF on Feb 11, 2024 20:21:08 GMT -6
The point is this is not a sure thing that some want you to believe. And that includes the Justin Fields decision. No matter what final decision Poles makes there is no sure thing here. That 70% "success" rate may be accurate. Different people would define "success" with that pick differently though. Just for example, were guys like Jaimis Winston or Baker Mayfield busts? They both most certainly were Pro Bowl players (2015 and 2023 respectively). How about Heisman winner Sam Bradford? JaMarcus Russell surely was. Carson Palmer made 3 Pro Bowls but man, I wasn't impressed with him. Alex Smith... maybe a solid 2nd tier-QB1. Tim Couch and Courtney Brown were busts...
From 1992 to 1995 the #1 picks were: Steve Emtman, Drew Bledsoe, Dan Wilkinson, Ki-Jana Carter (1990 was the mighty Jeff George out of Illinois). As I go over the list - going back to 1936 - there were a lot of 2nd tier and below guys taken at #1. LOL, that's almost 90 years (even older than me :-)
I just get frustrated when people talk like this is a lock that the #1 pick of the draft will be a top-tier player. And making a Pro Bowl or two doesn't necessarily define a player as Tier-1 for a career. Mitch Trubisky made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and no way is he an elite QB, right? Granted we only traded up to pick-2 of the draft to get him.
And I know you definitely understand this... I'm not saying you don't. Do we draft Williams/Maye at #1? I'm not saying we don't or shouldn't. Just pointing out it is risky. Go in with your eyes open and realize the guy drafted isn't a sure thing no matter what the meatballs say about "generational talent" guys. There ARE no sure things in the draft. Never has been.
Exactly. My only point is that there is risk involved no matter what Poles does. And of course Poles needs to figure out the best way forward at QB. Could be Fields, Williams, Maye or someone else.