Looking like 2-4 for the last 6 games. I really think we finish 5-11 and with the 5th pick. Losing Floyd will really hurt the D.
I agree on 5-11. Cleveland and San Fran are the only games left we should be favored in. Philly and Minnesota are surefire losses. The other two we have a shot to win but theyre on the road so probably won’t.
With Hicks and Trevathan out, I don't see a big win against San Fran. We be lucky to go 4-12.
Since it’s already time to look ahead to 2018, let’s examine where the Bears are going to be drafting.
The Chicago Bears are officially playing for pride. Sure, the Bears aren’t mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. They need about 30 things to happen specifically for them to get in, including winning 5 straight games to end the season. Being we all know that’s an impossibility, let’s look at where the Bears are going to be drafting.
Honestly assessing the Bears schedule, there are plenty of winnable games between San Francisco, Cleveland, and even Cincinnati, but the fact is no one can assume the Bears can win all these games. With that many struggling teams, the Bears aren’t going to lose out. But they aren’t going to win 3 or 4 games either. For argument’s sake, let’s say the Bears finish 5-11. That’s a reasonable thought.
The Cleveland Browns sit at 0-11. The San Francisco 49ers sit at 1-10. The New York Giants sit at 2-9. Afer that, the Bears are tied with the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts at 3-8.
Even if the Bears lose out, the Cleveland Browns are going to be hard-pressed to win three games. Yes, if the Bears lost out, that would include a loss to Cleveland, but Cleveland would still have to win two more games out of their remaining four. Being they’ve only won 1 game in their last 27, that’s hard to imagine.
The Giants have benched Eli Manning and seem to be spiraling into obscurity. It’s hard to imagine a scenario where the Bears sink below the Giants in the overall standings. Jimmy Garoppolo will give the 49ers their best chance to win, but if the Bears finish at 5-11, the Niners would have to win 4 of their last 5. Not happening.
So at this point, the Bears are looking at the fourth pick, best case scenario. The cluster after the third pick is going to be between the Bears, Tampa Bay, Denver, Indianapolis, Houston, Miami and the Jets. If the Bears are looking at the fourth pick with the best case, that means 10 is the worst case scenario.
Tampa is struggling but Jameis Winston returns this week, the Jets have been surprisingly competitive this season, both teams seemingly are headed for 6 or more wins.
Miami has really struggled, but they are getting healthier. The Bears main competition for that fourth pick will probably be between Denver, Indianapolis and Houston. The good news is all these AFC teams play each other.
Denver plays Miami, the Jets and the Colts. Indy and Houston play each other to end the season. By default, some of these teams are going to pick up wins.
Denver seems to be collapsing, so let’s call them the fourth pick. Houston and Indy will be formidable competition with the amount of holes in their team. So, with a very scientific method, let’s split the difference on those two and after crunching the numbers and the schedule: The Chicago Bears will have the sixth pick in the 2018 draft.
I never advocate losing only to enhance draft status but this year I don't even have to think about it and no one should even debate it. It's gonna happen just the same. 3-13 or 4-12, what's the difference? Top 5 likely.
Naw....Fox will screw this up some how. Beat the Bengals and the Browns giving them 5 wins. One 'upset' of a team with injuries gives them 6 wins pushing them to pick number 10. The ostriches then start demanding that Fox stay because the team responded to adversity and continuity for Mitch!!! Loggains will be the scapegoat and Dave Ragone becomes OC/QB coach.
Then, with the 10th pick in the NFL draft, Pace picks a WR.
Naw....Fox will screw this up some how. Beat the Bengals and the Browns giving them 5 wins. One 'upset' of a team with injuries gives them 6 wins pushing them to pick number 10. The ostriches then start demanding that Fox stay because the team responded to adversity and continuity for Mitch!!! Loggains will be the scapegoat and Dave Ragone becomes OC/QB coach.
Then, with the 10th pick in the NFL draft, Pace picks a WR.
I man can dream can't he?
OMG, thanks for the nightmare scenario. You hit all the key points.
How's this for typical Bears luck. We lose to a 1-10 team whose ahead of us in draft order but we don't move up even one notch. We're still in the #6 spot.
At this point I'm in favor of putting Glennon or Sanchez back there just to keep Trubisky out of harms way. Besides he's not being developed at all in this mess. Just the opposite I'd say. I want the very best edge guy his draft has to offer so I'm for losing as much as needed to get that guy.
I'll throw my "prediction" here so I can look back at it later. Let's revisit after a W.
Week 8 @ NOLA (L) 3-5 Got this one right - Week 9 bye - Week 10 v GB (W) 4-5 Frustratingly wrong 3-6 - Week 11 v DET (L) 4-6 Yep so 3-7 - Week 12 @ PHI (L) 4-7 Slaughter, check 3-8 - Week 13 v SF (W) 5-7 Nope... 3-9 - Week 14 @ CIN (L) 5-8 This balances one miss out 4-9 - This is where are now We have to split this series with Detroit, right? With Stafford's injury, we still have a shot, I'll keep it. Week 15 @ DET (W) 6-8 5-9 -
We can't lose to these paperbags, can we? With our AFCN record, I think we continue the trend. Week 16 v CLV (W) 7-8 6-9 -
I'm predicting the Lions and Vikings are indirectly playing each other for the division. With everything on the line the Vikings show up. Barring a collapse, the Vikings are fighting for a first round bye and should have the North wrapped up. Still, this team is better than the Bears, they win. Though, the Bears have a chance if the Vikings rest players. Week 17 @ MIN (L) 7-9 6-10 -
So I'll guess Chicago end up somewhere near the 10th pick. So still seems like a good guess, though, maybe inside the top 10.
Based on current records we're now drafting at #8 down from #6 last week with three games to go. Rosto seems to have nailed it pretty well. I'd say 5-11 is most likely with an outside shot at 6-10. Here's how the top ten stacks up right now. Here's how the first 10 picks of next April's draft looks so far:
I just knew we could dig down deep and get ourselves closer to a #5 pick. Hell, if we can just manage to lose to Cleveland WE should get the #1 overall pick right?