The issue is not whether we know more than Poles. It’s only whether Poles can do the job better than the other GM’s. He will keep/lose his job based on winning/losing, and even meatball fans know how to count. Beyond the counting, though, you and I can also recognize a Super Bowl ready team when we see one.
I already like how the Bears have upgraded to hiring a "football guy" (Warren) for President/CEO. And hiring an assistant GM, Cunningham, was a fantastic move. The franchise seems to have built a solid analytics department. We won't know about the scouting department and coaching staff for awhile, but this year should give us a good (initial) idea of what we have. I get it, that it takes a few years to really grade out a draft. But I'll bet this year is going to showcase a much improved team.
The 2022 Bears ranks high among the worst I’ve ever seen, so with #1 draft position and $100M cap space, any GM could produce a much improved team, considering the 2022 baseline.
No, I am comparing Poles to the other teams that are rebuilding— Jags, Seahawks, Lions. Can the Bears overtake them by 2025? That’s going to be my yardstick.