We are always talking each off-season about injuries affecting our upcoming season. I was wondering what is an "average" injury rate for an NFL season? I found one link that is a few years old, and if I am reading this right, only 45% of team plays all 16 games (LINK). I may be reading this incorrectly though. But it sure looks like injuries are never a non-factor for ANY season. No pixie dust here.
All the more reason why having high-quality depth is critically important. More and more I am thinking this is a factor that is overlooked by fans. The depth guys are not as interesting to talk about, but I am realizing that their importance is far more critical to the Bears success than I used to believe. It does look like Pace is adding higher quality depth on the roster. This should help almost as much as upgrading our starting talent. LOL, maybe that is a captain obvious thing for everyone else here... I can be a bit slow sometimes :-)
We are always talking each off-season about injuries affecting our upcoming season. I was wondering what is an "average" injury rate for an NFL season? I found one link that is a few years old, and if I am reading this right, only 45% of team plays all 16 games (LINK). I may be reading this incorrectly though. But it sure looks like injuries are never a non-factor for ANY season. No pixie dust here.
All the more reason why having high-quality depth is critically important. More and more I am thinking this is a factor that is overlooked by fans. The depth guys are not as interesting to talk about, but I am realizing that their importance is far more critical to the Bears success than I used to believe. It does look like Pace is adding higher quality depth on the roster. This should help almost as much as upgrading our starting talent. LOL, maybe that is a captain obvious thing for everyone else here... I can be a bit slow sometimes :-)
Injuries happen to every team, but it's how it's mixed up, were they starters, were they backups, did they happen spread out over a few positions or did they all the positions take a hit.
Most teams aren't dealing w/multiple OL'men who were wearing street clothes to start the year. Most teams won't be on their 2nd or 3rd qb. Most teams won't have their depth/ST's WRs starting the 50% of their games.
Last years expected WR to start were White/Wheaton/Wright. Wright was the only one to play any significant time. Zach Miller only started 8 games, 18 of 32 in the last 2 seasons. I'm betting 50% of teams didn't have 2/3rds of their starting WR's drop before the season started, AND have their starting TE only play 1/2 the season.
We are always talking each off-season about injuries affecting our upcoming season. I was wondering what is an "average" injury rate for an NFL season? I found one link that is a few years old, and if I am reading this right, only 45% of team plays all 16 games (LINK). I may be reading this incorrectly though. But it sure looks like injuries are never a non-factor for ANY season. No pixie dust here.
All the more reason why having high-quality depth is critically important. More and more I am thinking this is a factor that is overlooked by fans. The depth guys are not as interesting to talk about, but I am realizing that their importance is far more critical to the Bears success than I used to believe. It does look like Pace is adding higher quality depth on the roster. This should help almost as much as upgrading our starting talent. LOL, maybe that is a captain obvious thing for everyone else here... I can be a bit slow sometimes :-)
Injuries happen to every team, but it's how it's mixed up, were they starters, were they backups, did they happen spread out over a few positions or did they all the positions take a hit.
Most teams aren't dealing w/multiple OL'men who were wearing street clothes to start the year. Most teams won't be on their 2nd or 3rd qb. Most teams won't have their depth/ST's WRs starting the 50% of their games.
Last years expected WR to start were White/Wheaton/Wright. Wright was the only one to play any significant time. Zach Miller only started 8 games, 18 of 32 in the last 2 seasons. I'm betting 50% of teams didn't have 2/3rds of their starting WR's drop before the season started, AND have their starting TE only play 1/2 the season.
This is really the key. If your depth gets wiped out, you're starting street FAs or Iman at WR while I pin all my hopes on a UDFA named Tanner Gentry. The other thing to consider is that often teams will lose quality depth when they hit FA. A guy who is your backup but good enough to start often will take off to get that starting job. They might be over estimating their ability, but its still depth that takes off. Marvin Jones is a good example of that in Detroit. He was the 3rd WR in...Cinny I believe, but he starts in Detroit. He went from depth to starter.
I'm not talking about our last year's team but rather a typical year for a team. It sounds like most teams lose about half their starters for some games in a typical year. If I read that article right it said 45% of starters on a given team play all 16 games. If that is correct (not sure it that it is) then that means 11 or more backups are going to be starters in a given season. At least for one or more games.
Obviously you can't have a roster of backups that are starter quality. But I believe the talent gap between the starters and backups is narrower on some teams than others.
It is all the more critically important for a team to have the pipeline of quality young talent coming in each year - not just for starters, but for depth positions also. Most of us fans understandably get excited about the starters on the roster, but quality depth players are really critically important also. This not only depends upon scouting/GM but also having a coaching staff that can truly develop young players to hit their talent ceiling. We have not had than many years here. That talent gap between our starters and backups was too large in past years. Now, it sure looks to me like the team has the staff to spot young talent, and we have the coaches who look like they can develop that talent better.
I'm not talking about our last year's team but rather a typical year for a team. It sounds like most teams lose about half their starters for some games in a typical year. If I read that article right it said 45% of starters on a given team play all 16 games. If that is correct (not sure it that it is) then that means 11 or more backups are going to be starters in a given season. At least for one or more games.
Obviously you can't have a roster of backups that are starter quality. But I believe the talent gap between the starters and backups is narrower on some teams than others.
It is all the more critically important for a team to have the pipeline of quality young talent coming in each year - not just for starters, but for depth positions also. Most of us fans understandably get excited about the starters on the roster, but quality depth players are really critically important also. This not only depends upon scouting/GM but also having a coaching staff that can truly develop young players to hit their talent ceiling. We have not had than many years here. That talent gap between our starters and backups was too large in past years. Now, it sure looks to me like the team has the staff to spot young talent, and we have the coaches who look like they can develop that talent better.
That is huge.
This is something I posted on before when we were talking about our OLBs and pass rush.
Our top four OLBs; Floyd, McPhee, Young, and Houston (who was released and then re-signed) collectively played only 32 games out of 64. So this is right in line with those stats. Given that all but Floyd have had ongoing injury issues and/or were past their prime I can understand why Pace chose not to keep any of them.
We have to get younger and healthier at that position which would also explain foregoing signing guys like Alex Okafor or Trent Murphy in lieu of Lynch and then hoping a rookie like Fitts can avoid the minor injuries that forced him to miss a number of college games and dropped him from a 3rd or 4th round pick to a 6th rounder.
Sam Acho may not be a pass rushing whizz but he's only missed one game in three years. Until last season Willie Young had only missed one game as well but then age and injury caught up. In contrast McPhee missed 12 and only started 17 of 48 in his three years in Chicago. We gambled on him knowing about his knees and lost.
Pace has a rep for late FA signings and I wouldn't be shocked to see him bring in another vet OLB this summer once he's been able to evaluate what he already has. Lamarr Houston is still unsigned and IMHO maybe the best choice or possibly a guy like Connor Barwin if all we need is a guy who can handle some 3rd down plays and bring pressure.
But overall I feel the best way to overcome the injury issue is to allow your younger players to develop into quality depth via good coaching and some game experience. Continuing to fill gaps with vet depth won't help to get that done.