Post by paytonisgod on Oct 30, 2017 19:54:43 GMT -6
Loggains? Seriously? I guess somebody has to be the whipping boy whenever the offense underperforms since it's too early to crucify the QB.
Was it Loggains that dropped all the catchable balls? Was it Loggains who blew their blocking assignments? Was it Loggains who couldn't get any separation downfield? Was it Loggains who made rookie mistakes?
The Hobbit is just an OC, he's not a miracle worker guys. At some point the players have to execute their assignments. No OC out there could turn this unit into a good offense as it is currently composed. The Bears have an inexperienced rookie QB and no real threats at the receiver position (and with Miller gone that's only going to get worse). We're a one dimensional team that every team knows how to attack because we don't have the talent to do otherwise. No playcalling, no matter how genius or unpredictable, is going to change that.
"5. The Bears continue to present rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky with a conservative game plan, but that safe approach may not be the best one. Trubisky threw 32 passes in Sunday’s loss to the Saints, a significant departure from his bizarre stat lines in the team’s previous two games. Even with more opportunities to sling it, though, he wasn’t put in the best possible position to succeed. Chicago is steadfast in establishing the run on early downs, which usually means tough sledding for Jordan Howard. Coming into Sunday’s game, only four backs in the league faced eight or more defenders on a higher percentage of their 2017 carries (46.9). With Howard trying to trudge through a brick wall on most first downs, the Bears have fallen into obvious down-and-distances situations, making Trubisky’s passing attempts easily predictable.
Chicago’s staff has done a nice job to this point of giving Trubisky designed rollouts and play-action throws, but making life simple for young passers is just as much about timing as it is play design. Right now, the Bears are following the same script far too often."
It, again, means he is too predictable. Loggains in calling runs when the DEF knows he is going to run. This produces 3rd and longs, which now means he has to pass when the DEF knows he is passing. No one here is begging Loggains to suddenly become a pass happy play caller. We just want less predictability. You can still feature the run without being predictable. Its about using down and distance, and formations to hide your intentions for any particular play call. The Bears are too predictable, and when national writers can see it, its a problem.
This is not to say that Loggains doesn't lack weapons, he obviously does. The best WR Wright is a slot receiver (although McBride hauled in some nice catches yesterday, maybe moving forward he can continue to impress). The strength of this team is its running backs. I would expect to see an OFF that heavily features the run.
Through 3 quarters and the first drive of the 4th, the Bears according to my look through the PBP had 20 first down plays. 14 of them were runs. 14!!! From that point on every play was a pass except for Cohen's leap over the pile for the TD. Mitch dropped back (not counting scrambles and sacks) 32 times. 1/2 of his pass attempts came in the 4th quarter. so not counting the 4th quarter, its was 26 runs to 16 passes. Thats a 60:40 R/P ratio. Fine if thats the strength of the team I can see that. But 80:20 ratio on first down is being predictable.
They have little choice but to run on first down. Trubs completion percentage was 43%. You aren't going to average a lot of yards on first down with that kind of completion rate. This team is good at rushing so rushing is a more reliable way to get yards.
The problem is when you get an incompletion on 1st down (57% of the time for us) you have not only gained no yards but stopped the clock. Now with a 2nd and 10 the options are narrowed. Sure you can run now but even if you do get 4-5 yards you will have to throw on 3rd down and the defense knows it and will becoming straight at the QB. The Bears run on first down so the QB isn't put in those kind of situations if possible.
How many times does it have to be pointed out that Trubs is an inexperienced rookie throwing at cast-offs and practice squad level guys? Who do you trust the most to execute their assignments the OL and our pro-bowl RB, or the rookie QB and a cobbled together collection of receivers? If and when Trubs gets better, and he gets some decent targets, I'm sure we'll see more pass plays on first down.