Season Modified Around Reigns Team Average Stat System
Jul 4, 2023 21:57:24 GMT -6
JABF and Funkytown like this
Post by Reignman on Jul 4, 2023 21:57:24 GMT -6
S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. for short. 
Or how bout, Someone Hopefully Appreciates Reigns Team Average Stat System?
... no wait.
Waaaaasup my Bears brothers from another mothers? Well boys and girls, it's still the dead offseason, so let me see if I can explain the madness with this one. It looks at the offensive/defensive strength of a team in a "strength of schedule" sorta way, but instead of wins, it's about yards. Teams aren't just ranked by how many yards they've accumulated, but instead, the offensive and defensive strength of your opponents are factored into the equation. Is the 5th ranked offense actually better than the 10th ranked offense if it played a much easier defensive schedule? Maybe? This attempts to address that problem.
First, let me use the Bears game against Washington as an example to explain how the sausage is made ... The Commies defense gave up an average of 299 yards per game (not including this game), and the Bears offense racked up 391 total yards against them, giving the Bears offense a net of +92 yards (or S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. points) for this one game. The Commies offense gained an average of 338 yards per game (not including this game), but in this one they only gained 214 yards against the Bears defense, giving the Bears defense a net -124 yards for the game (negative is better on defense), or a net total of net +215 for the game (offense and defense combined). It's more important that you beat an opponents average than how many yards were gained or prevented in this system.
I then tally up all the games and divide by the number of games played to get a season/game average. The NFL hasn't always played a 17 game schedule, and the game has evolved a bit over the past 6 decades, so then I normalized the results allowing for the ranking and comparison of teams from any and all eras, head to head, no matter how many games they played. That's what the historical ranks are all about at the bottom of the chart. This particular project just focuses on total yards, but I can also compare/rank teams by points, passing, and rushing.
Having said all that, here are the 2022 Bears game by game results.
Any questions xD?
Here's the ugly legend explaining what all that means.
And if you plot all the 2022 teams on a graph by their offensive and defensive averages (ghosted helmets = last years results):
I've done every team going back to 1960 (1805 teams) and there has never been a more lopsided run to pass ratio in this system lol. So congrats on that I guess. I know, it wasn't a season to remember for Bears fans overall, so how bout I include one that I'm sure you all remember fondly, and was one I was personally looking forward to creating, because who doesn't remember the '85 Bears xD?
Hawt damn! Now that's a defense. 23rd best S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. defense since 1960. NGL, I thought it'd be higher xD. In fact your '84 defense ranked considerably higher. That damn Joe Montana though. We almost had that Bears/Dolphins Super Bowl a year sooner, because we were robbed of that epic rematch in '85 thanks to those damn Patriots. Who the hell wanted to watch Steve Grogan?
As far as the current Bears go, you guys got the QB I wanted, and the GM I wanted, so what's a Vikings fan supposed to do? If they fail, I look bad, if they succeed, that sucks too lol. I'll root for fail and then blame the Bears organization for using them wrong, how bout that haha?
As a bonus, I'll include the 2022 S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. Chiefs, because it's one of the only other ones I've created so far xD.
Let me know if you're interested in seeing any of the other 1800 teams and I'll see which ones I can get to. The graphics take a little while to make so I'll get to as many as I can, or I can always just post the numbers too. I've seen all the data and there are some surprises in there. 2000 Ravens defense? Not as impressive when you consider the pathetic offenses they faced that year xD.
Feel free to visit the other boards to see some of their results. And if you're not aware, these are all proboards boards, so your account here can be used to sign on any of the others too. You'll have to "create it" on each board first, but that's how it works if I remember correctly, or just visit as a guest. The cross traffic helps all of us in the analytics department anyway xD. The real reason behind this entire thing muahahaha.
Vikings - purplepainforums.com/thread/6943/back-2022-edition
Lions - lionsredzone.proboards.com/thread/792/season-modified-reigns-average-system
Cardinals - arizonacardinals.freeforums.net/thread/10603/season-modified-reigns-average-system
Packers - their board is DOA
And link to the original post when I started this thing last year, which may or may not explain the whole thing better.
purplepainforums.com/thread/5555/season-modified-reigns-adjusted-system
Or how bout, Someone Hopefully Appreciates Reigns Team Average Stat System?
... no wait.Waaaaasup my Bears brothers from another mothers? Well boys and girls, it's still the dead offseason, so let me see if I can explain the madness with this one. It looks at the offensive/defensive strength of a team in a "strength of schedule" sorta way, but instead of wins, it's about yards. Teams aren't just ranked by how many yards they've accumulated, but instead, the offensive and defensive strength of your opponents are factored into the equation. Is the 5th ranked offense actually better than the 10th ranked offense if it played a much easier defensive schedule? Maybe? This attempts to address that problem.
First, let me use the Bears game against Washington as an example to explain how the sausage is made ... The Commies defense gave up an average of 299 yards per game (not including this game), and the Bears offense racked up 391 total yards against them, giving the Bears offense a net of +92 yards (or S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. points) for this one game. The Commies offense gained an average of 338 yards per game (not including this game), but in this one they only gained 214 yards against the Bears defense, giving the Bears defense a net -124 yards for the game (negative is better on defense), or a net total of net +215 for the game (offense and defense combined). It's more important that you beat an opponents average than how many yards were gained or prevented in this system.
I then tally up all the games and divide by the number of games played to get a season/game average. The NFL hasn't always played a 17 game schedule, and the game has evolved a bit over the past 6 decades, so then I normalized the results allowing for the ranking and comparison of teams from any and all eras, head to head, no matter how many games they played. That's what the historical ranks are all about at the bottom of the chart. This particular project just focuses on total yards, but I can also compare/rank teams by points, passing, and rushing.
Having said all that, here are the 2022 Bears game by game results.
Any questions xD?
Here's the ugly legend explaining what all that means.
And if you plot all the 2022 teams on a graph by their offensive and defensive averages (ghosted helmets = last years results):
I've done every team going back to 1960 (1805 teams) and there has never been a more lopsided run to pass ratio in this system lol. So congrats on that I guess. I know, it wasn't a season to remember for Bears fans overall, so how bout I include one that I'm sure you all remember fondly, and was one I was personally looking forward to creating, because who doesn't remember the '85 Bears xD?
Hawt damn! Now that's a defense. 23rd best S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. defense since 1960. NGL, I thought it'd be higher xD. In fact your '84 defense ranked considerably higher. That damn Joe Montana though. We almost had that Bears/Dolphins Super Bowl a year sooner, because we were robbed of that epic rematch in '85 thanks to those damn Patriots. Who the hell wanted to watch Steve Grogan?
As far as the current Bears go, you guys got the QB I wanted, and the GM I wanted, so what's a Vikings fan supposed to do? If they fail, I look bad, if they succeed, that sucks too lol. I'll root for fail and then blame the Bears organization for using them wrong, how bout that haha?
As a bonus, I'll include the 2022 S.M.A.R.T.A.S.S. Chiefs, because it's one of the only other ones I've created so far xD.
Let me know if you're interested in seeing any of the other 1800 teams and I'll see which ones I can get to. The graphics take a little while to make so I'll get to as many as I can, or I can always just post the numbers too. I've seen all the data and there are some surprises in there. 2000 Ravens defense? Not as impressive when you consider the pathetic offenses they faced that year xD.
Feel free to visit the other boards to see some of their results. And if you're not aware, these are all proboards boards, so your account here can be used to sign on any of the others too. You'll have to "create it" on each board first, but that's how it works if I remember correctly, or just visit as a guest. The cross traffic helps all of us in the analytics department anyway xD. The real reason behind this entire thing muahahaha.
Vikings - purplepainforums.com/thread/6943/back-2022-edition
Lions - lionsredzone.proboards.com/thread/792/season-modified-reigns-average-system
Cardinals - arizonacardinals.freeforums.net/thread/10603/season-modified-reigns-average-system
Packers - their board is DOA
And link to the original post when I started this thing last year, which may or may not explain the whole thing better.
purplepainforums.com/thread/5555/season-modified-reigns-adjusted-system
