Post by paytonisgod on Nov 19, 2022 11:33:08 GMT -6
www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2022/high-highs-and-low-lows-justin-fields-and-tom-brady
But, of course, calm rational analysis isn't the point of morning shows; they exist to make Bold, Declarative Statements! and to feed off the reactions they generate. It isn't really possible to back up Justin Fields, MVP talk with any sort of rational analysis—just as, say, ranking the Vikings top overall in a power rankings isn't backed up if you even take the slightest glance beyond the final scores in one week. But Bold, Declarative Statements generate conversation and opinions and, uh, articles when someone is scraping the barrel for content in a week.
What these sorts of shows really need, then, isn't Dan Orlovsky or Mike Florio. The ideal morning show duo would naturally be Pangloss and Chicken Little, to share nothing but the most optimistic and pessimistic takes even remotely supportable. Pangloss, there to share his unshakable optimism, singing the praises of Fields to the high heavens. (Did you know that if you just take out that one little game-losing interception against the Lions, Fields had a positive passing DVOA last week?) Chicken Little, there to provide the prophecies of impending disaster, bemoaning the decaying state of Tom Brady's game and saying he was playing bad even though he was third in passing DYAR even before the get-right German game.
Anyone who talks about football for a living has a little bit of Pangloss or Chicken Little in them, to be used appropriately, but why settle for the diluted version when we can go full strength! Let's turn over our statistical database to the two of them and see what they can't dig up.
What these sorts of shows really need, then, isn't Dan Orlovsky or Mike Florio. The ideal morning show duo would naturally be Pangloss and Chicken Little, to share nothing but the most optimistic and pessimistic takes even remotely supportable. Pangloss, there to share his unshakable optimism, singing the praises of Fields to the high heavens. (Did you know that if you just take out that one little game-losing interception against the Lions, Fields had a positive passing DVOA last week?) Chicken Little, there to provide the prophecies of impending disaster, bemoaning the decaying state of Tom Brady's game and saying he was playing bad even though he was third in passing DYAR even before the get-right German game.
Anyone who talks about football for a living has a little bit of Pangloss or Chicken Little in them, to be used appropriately, but why settle for the diluted version when we can go full strength! Let's turn over our statistical database to the two of them and see what they can't dig up.
Basically, when something goes right for Fields, it's generally stunning to watch. And when something goes wrong, it's a disaster. On Tuesday's FO DVOA Data Show, Vince Verhei said that Fields was becoming a must-watch player if you have a Sunday Ticket or RedZone package, because Fields is almost always going to do something huge—it's just a question as to which team it will actually benefit. Fields has had 30 of the dropbacks in the top 10% of DYAR this season, and 36 in the bottom 10%. That means 26.8% of Fields' dropbacks have been among the very best or very worst passing plays of the season, more than any other qualified passer. Add in his highlight-reel running plays and no, there is no better quarterback to watch if you're rooting for chaos of one sort or another.
