Past 20 years of QB drafts

That is the bottom-line.  Can you get a great QB in later rounds?  Sure.  But statistically it is not likely.  It's like anything else in life that is "possible" but not as likely to happen.  Like winning the lottery, or even filling an inside-straight in poker.  Others have done that.  Me?  Not so much :-)

The elephant in the room is that yes, the Bears, may need multiple attempts to draft a true franchise QB.  All the more reason to not wait until we are backed into a corner at the position and drafting in a crisis mode situation.  Dallas did have Romo and could draft a Dak.  The Patriots drafted Jacoby Brissett in the 3rd round this year, and Jimmy Garoppolo in the 2nd round a few years ago.  This is what smart teams do.  They always have a young kid in the pipeline.  Those are high enough picks that there is a better chance of getting some quality.  Not a sure thing.  But somewhat better chances than us with the Enderles and Fales types later in the draft.  

We just waited too long to get in the game and seriously TRY to draft a solid youngster.  We haven't drafted a QB in the top 3 rounds in years and years.  We've gone with guys like Hoyer and Clausen, backed by wannabees like Fales and Shaw.