It's looking like we will have an absolute lock on a top-3 draft pick this coming draft. No QB is ranked that high. No QB in this draft is thought to be close to a "sure thing" so what would your draft strategy be?
Here's are the top-10 quarterback prospects as of a few days ago:
And here is the overall draft prospect board for all positions:
Kizer isn't lasting until the 2nd round; save this sheet, until a week before the draft so we can watch how much it changes.
btw if the Bears decide to take a qb that isn't rated as high as one of those DE's, then you can only put blame on them for not trying to get a young qb in here over the last decade, specifically the last 2-3 years; more specifically last year when they had 3 shots at a guy in the 4th round that was a potential 2nd-3rd rounder; all for def guys that aren't playing much...but there have been other chances at the qb that they passed on and they might end up regretting later.
btw here are the scouting reports for the top guys, names you would probably know:
DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame Height: 6-4. Weight: 230. Projected 40 Time: 4.70. Projected Round (2017): 1. 11/16/16: Kizer is the top quarterback prospect for the 2017 NFL Draft. He has a better physical skill set than Deshaun Watson, Brad Kaaya or Chad Kelly, and can make beautiful touch passes with superb accuracy and ball placement while being under fire from pass rush. Kizer's field vision is very good as he moves his eyes through his progressions even with defenders bearing down on him. Additionally, Kizer has the arm strength to make all the throws in the NFL with impressive accuracy to beat good coverage. He consistently shows the ability to drop in accurate touch passes downfield and the mobility to make plays with his feet. Kizer is an excellent pocket passer.
Kizer had a rough game against N.C. State while playing in a downpour from Hurricane Matthew. He started this year with a tremendous game against Texas and gave evidence to NFL teams that he could be a future franchise quarterback. Kizer lofted in some beautiful passes between defenders against the Longhorns. Kizer also showed excellent decision-making while maintaing poise under the pass rush of Texas. He protected the football and made extraordinary passes into small openings. Kizer also was impressive in leading a near-comeback against Michigan State where he made many similar throws.
In 2016, Kizer has completed 61 percent of his passes for 2,470 yards with 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He also has run for six touchdowns. Kizer completed 63 percent of his passes last season for 2,884 yards with 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also ran for 520 yards with 10 scores on the ground.
Mitch Trubisky*, QB, North Carolina Height: 6-3. Weight: 220. Projected 40 Time: 4.84. Projected Round (2017): 1-3. 11/16/16: Trubisky looks like a second-round caliber prospect, but that doesn't preclude teams from reaching on him in the first round. Teams have had second-day grades on many quarterbacks who ended up going in the top 32.
Trubisky has been very efficient in 2016, displaying good decision-making and flashing good accuracy. The junior has beat up on some weak secondaries this year, but it still is impressive that he had three straight games throwing for over 400 yards without throwing a single interception. Trubisky was impressive against Florida State and Pittsburgh before an ugly game against Virginia Tech. On the season, Trubisky has completed 71 percent of his passes for 3,004 yards with 22 touchdowns and four interceptions. He also has three rushing touchdowns.
Trubisky (6-3, 220) is off to a great start and will see his stock rise if he maintains this level of play. He was a backup as a sophomore and freshman.
Deshaun Watson*, QB, Clemson Height: 6-2. Weight: 205. Projected 40 Time: 4.60. Projected Round (2017): 1-4. 11/16/16: I surveyed teams around the league to see where their initial draft grades were for Watson. Two playoff teams told me they had third-round grades on Watson. One said it was on the low end as a third- to fourth-rounder. Another playoff team told Walt that they had a third-round grade on Watson. Two other teams said they had second-round grades on Watson. One team thought that Watson still could be a late first-round pick, similar to Teddy Bridgewater, because of the dire need at the position across the NFL.
In this draft analyst's opinion, I would grade Watson as a third-round pick for the 2017 NFL Draft, but that doesn't mean an NFL team won't take him on Thursday night or earlier on Friday. This year, Watson has been off with his accuracy and has displayed poor ball placement. He has missed a lot of potential touchdowns as a result. Watson's performance against Louisville confirms the accuracy and ball-placement problems we've seen all season. He hasn't dominated, and his play is not that of a top quarterback prospect. All of this illustrates that Watson still has room for improvement with his field vision, ball placement, and accuracy.
Also, Watson is undersized compared to your average NFL starting quarterback. On top of that, he plays in a college spread offense that doesn't correlate well to the NFL. Thus, he's going to need to learn working under center, operating the huddle, footwork, and not being a running quarterback. There is no doubt that Watson has great intangibles as a hard worker with good character off the field and leadership in the locker room.
So far in 2016, Watson has completed 66 percent of his passes for 3,077 yards with 27 touchdowns and 13 interceptions.
7/29/16: Watson played really well to lead Clemson to the National Championship game, and in that title tilt, he threw for over 400 yards and four touchdowns against an Alabama defense that featured tons of future NFL talent. Watson completed 68 percent of his passes in 2015 for 4,104 yards with 35 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. On the ground, he averaged 5.3 yards per carry for 1,105 yards with 12 scores.
Watson has a decent arm, excellent athleticism, and can show some superb accuracy. However, he is undersized and doesn't play in a pro-style offense. His numbers are vastly inflated by his college offense. Operating under center will be one thing for him to learn. Watson also has to improve his field vision. He flashes good field vision to work through his progressions on some plays, but he is inconsistent and he can also look to run too soon. Watson won't be able to run as much in the NFL and he needs to get faster at working through his progressions. His pocket-passing process has to get quicker as well.
Davis Webb, QB, California Height: 6-5. Weight: 230. Projected 40 Time: 4.78. Projected Round (2017): 2-3. 11/16/16: In 2016, Webb has completed 61 percent of his passes for 3,601 yards with 33 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. There is some buzz about him in the scouting community. Webb has a good arm with pocket presence and flashes good field vision. He can make some pretty throws downfield and fit the ball into tight windows. However, he will have some of the same developmental problems for the NFL as Jared Goff with having to learn working under center, operating a huddle, and developing the footwork.
9/3/16: Webb is taking over the Bear Raid offense with Jared Goff in the NFL. Previously, Webb played at Texas Tech in a similar college gimmick offense. He barely played in 2015, but started the previous two years. In 2014 he completed 61 percent of his passes for 2,539 yards with 24 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. The previous season he completed 63 percent of his passes for 2,718 yards with 20 touchdowns and nine picks.
Pat Mahomes*, QB, Texas Tech Height: 6-3. Weight: 219. Projected 40 Time: 4.70. Projected Round (2017): 2-4. 11/16/16: Mahomes has completed 67 percent of his passes in 2016 for 4,230 yards with 34 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He also has 12 rushing touchdowns. Some team sources are intrigued by Mahomes, but others are skeptics. Mahomes has a good arm and flashes the ability to be a pocket passer. He also has athleticism with enough mobility to buy time and pick up some yards on the ground. He is a sleeper who could be a steal.
7/29/16: Mahomes plays in a gimmick college offense that produces a lot of points, but Mahomes has shown potential to get NFL consideration. In 2015, he completed 64 percent for 4,653 yards with 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. It was a big improvement over his freshman season when he completed 57 percent of his passes for 1,547 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions.
Luke Falk*, QB, Washington State Height: 6-4. Weight: 205. Projected 40 Time: 4.79. Projected Round (2017): 2-4. 11/16/16: In 2016, Falk has completed 74 percent of his passes for 3,610 yards with 33 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has a quality arm to hurt teams from the pocket, but his numbers are inflated by a college spread offense.
There were some media reports that Falk would enter the 2017 NFL Draft. He said those reports were false and that he hadn't made the decision. At the moment, his inclination was to return to Washington State next season.
7/29/16: Falk plays in a college spread offense, but he puts up big totals of yards and points. In 2015, Falk completed 69 percent of his passes for 4,561 yards with 38 touchdowns and eight interceptions. As a freshman, he completed 64 percent of his throw for 1,859 yards with 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Falk should continue to have big stat lines playing in Mike Leach's offense.
Brad Kaaya*, QB, Miami Height: 6-4. Weight: 209. Projected 40 Time: 4.72. Projected Round (2017): 2-4. 11/16/16: One general manager of a playoff team that is very skilled at quarterback evaluation said they had Kaaya as fifth-round pick. They feel he has no mobility, can't throw well while under pressure, and his arm is decent, but doesn't blow them away. Two other teams said they graded Kaaya as a late third-, early fourth-rounder.
In 2016, Kaaya has completed 62 percent of his passes for 2,568 yards with 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He, specifically, put together underwhelming performances in losses to Florida State and North Carolina. Kaaya has some crippling weaknesses in looking down at the rush and a lack of mobility to avoid sacks. He takes a lot of sacks, and his eyes don't stay downfield when under pressure.
Kaaya's game against Appalachian State illustrated that he has serious pocket-passing talent for the NFL though. His protection has been an issue in other outings, but when Kaaya is given time, he's deadly. Kaaya showed that he has a big arm, pocket presence, is accurate in tight windows, can throw perfect touch passes, and has field vision to work through his protections. The problem is he has to be able to thrive without a perfect pocket to throw from, which puts too much pressure on his offensive line to be flawless.
7/29/16: 2015 was a rough year for Miami and Kaaya had to battle through with a weak supporting cast. He completed 61 percent of his passes for 3,242 yards with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions on the season. Kaaya didn't develop significantly over his freshman-year performance.
Kaaya has a good physical skill set with a strong arm that can make all the throws. At times, he has displayed some pocket-passing ability to go along with poise. In 2014, Kaaya completed 59 percent of his passes for 3,198 yards with 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Kaaya had a ton of talent around him as a freshman in the form of a stud left tackle (Ereck Flowers), wide receiver (Phillip Dorsett) and running back (Duke Johnson).
Kizer isn't lasting until the 2nd round; save this sheet, until a week before the draft so we can watch how much it changes.
btw if the Bears decide to take a qb that isn't rated as high as one of those DE's, then you can only put blame on them for not trying to get a young qb in here over the last decade, specifically the last 2-3 years; more specifically last year when they had 3 shots at a guy in the 4th round that was a potential 2nd-3rd rounder; all for def guys that aren't playing much...but there have been other chances at the qb that they passed on and they might end up regretting later.
It sounds like Kizer may have the highest ceiling of all QB's. But that's a big "may" qualification. He could be a bust too.
Just by going off that board I think you take Garrett or Allen if available. Maybe even the OT Robinson or the best QB available. Would be great if a team offered to trade up for the Bear's pick and the Bears took a QB later in the first. That's like pip dream though.
Kizer isn't lasting until the 2nd round; save this sheet, until a week before the draft so we can watch how much it changes.
btw if the Bears decide to take a qb that isn't rated as high as one of those DE's, then you can only put blame on them for not trying to get a young qb in here over the last decade, specifically the last 2-3 years; more specifically last year when they had 3 shots at a guy in the 4th round that was a potential 2nd-3rd rounder; all for def guys that aren't playing much...but there have been other chances at the qb that they passed on and they might end up regretting later.
It sounds like Kizer may have the highest ceiling of all QB's. But that's a big "may" qualification. He could be a bust too.
depending on who drafts them, what kind of system they want him to run, AND his willingness to work on his game ANYONE can be a bust.
Brilliant. I see it all now. Then we bundle the ten 6th round picks and trade 'em all to the Cleveland Browns for Josh McCown. It's bold. It might just work too.
Deja Vu all over again. Pace make it happen!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BPA and I would build the OL if at all possible or if there is another stud DL pass rusher then take him. Not sure if there'll be an OL ranked that high or a QB either for that matter.
If there's a ton of value after the top 5 picks then think about trading down. Those top few picks can bring back some nice booty and we're more than just one guy away from our goal. Even more than just a QB away. If we can't protect him he's not gonna do any better than Cutler has because no one else has either.