I think our best bet would be to play out the games and then at the end of the season answer this question. I suspect the team will do "just enough" to keep Pace and Nagy here. Maybe a playoff appearance where the team is one-and-done... and the Bears will point to that as if the team is on the right path. The thing that bothers me is that I don't see the team has the GM and HC to put together a good offense. After 6 years of Pace I just don't see the evidence that he has the gears to get it done. As riczaj01 has pointed out a number of times (and I agree with him on this) Pace has poured a lot of resources into the defense. There is some talent there. There SHOULD be with the investment on D. On offense I see 6 years of futility. Sure, there are a few guys who show promise (could be good), along with some guys who are okay-but-not-great... not All-Pro guys but okay players. Allen Robinson is probably our only proven good player (and granted he is not elite by any means). Then we have mediocre and below average guys.
Is this a passing grade for 6 years of GM work? This offense?
I look at this offense and I can't see that it is any better than the old Lovie Smith offenses that sucked. In fact, I'd take some of those old sub-par offenses over this one. 6 years of work here. And this is the best Ryan Pace can do? And as far as Pace's hire of Nagy - as an offense "guru" I think that we instead got a guy who is completely in over his head on offense. He makes too many bonehead mistakes. He's a likeable guy. He admits mistakes. But in the end you gotta have SOME talent. Heck, Lovie Smith was a nice guy. I liked him. But in the end we need a guy who can actually coach. The players love Nagy. They loved Lovie Smith too. But there has to be more than that in a coach.
Do we blow it all up and start over? Let's wait and see the season play out first. I'm not a happy camper now, but maybe a miracle happens. I doubt it but who knows...
Post by malagabears on Jan 15, 2021 13:25:41 GMT -6
See, with my MSU training and degree I got us both Dak & ARob, how is that for collaboration and no controversy. I did it while nobody was looking!!
My 2020/21 off season mock (Front Office, Coaching, Free Agency & Draft): Bear’s needs: As we know, absolutely nothing changed apart from Pagano retiring as DC. That´s it. With the band getting back together I am throwing sh** at the wall to reflect the unwanted but sober reality of our 2021 team. Front Office/Coaching Staff: As QB coach I am willing to see what DeFlippo does for us in 2021/22. He has a good history with numerous play callers. Promote Jay Rodgers to DC and let him tweak the scheme to get the best out of the front 7. Poach Eric Washington from the Bills as DL Coach – Asst DC. His Dline specialty will help reshape the line over the next 2-3 years. Maybe look for new blood & replace the OLB/ILB, & DB coaches.
Offense 1. O Line – Both tackle positions need to be upgraded. If we get creative in trades where we can get at least 2 2nds as draft capital, then we can draft 2 OT´s this year. 2. O Line – 2 more depth lineman to add to the Bars/Mustipher pool in rounds 6/7 or UDFA. 3. TE – Need 1. Graham is gone after 2021. 4. RB – Need a large back to pound on 3rd & short and block. 5. QB – Pace has made it clear he needs a big splash either in FA, via trade, or the draft. I elect to go through FA. 6. WR2/3 – A Miller is as good as gone judging from comments Mr. George made yesterday. I attack this via FA & the draft. Defense D Line – has been good but we need 1 new future starter & depth. OLB & ILB – We will need to eventually replace DT & Quinn. Smith stays by virtual of age and draft position/upside. Quinn can be cut after next season. Need depth at both positions. Secondary – JJ has shown flashes and rookie learning curve but has tremendous upside. We need to replace Skrine & resign Gipson to a 1-year stopgap. Unfortunately, most of the draft capital will go to the offense. We also need depth at the Safety and CB positions. Special Teams Punter – We are set with Mega Punt Kicker – Resign Santos Returner – Cohen is ready for next year, and we can draft a returner with a supplemental 6th.
CAP situation projected for 2021: 2021 total contracts are confusing, Spotrac says 32 players under contract at 180.5M and OTC says 35 players under contract at 181M. I will go with 181M as the over with 32 players under contract. If we agree on a middle ground between the rumoured 190M & 195M as the new CAP floor (TBD) then we will settle on 192.5M as the floor. That means without any offseason moves we have 11.5M in CAP space with 32 players signed. 192.5 – 181 = 11.5M. ** Note – I expect the salary CAP ceiling to hit 210-220M in 2022 which will give us a lot of room to pick up extensions and the restructures ** CUTS: Cut Bobbie Massie, save 6.7M. Cut Jimmy Graham, save 7M. Cut Buster Skrine, save 2.8M Cut Anthony Miller Jun 2, save 1.2M New CAP = 11.5M + 17.7M = 29.2M available. TRADES: Trade Akiem Hicks to the Tennessee Titans for a 4th round 2021 pick. He still has at least 2 good years if not 3 in the tank. Save 10.5M. New CAP = 28M + 10.5M = 39.7M available. RESTRUCTURES: Restructure Eddie Jackson´s base salary from 8.9M to 2.9M by converting it into a 6M signing bonus over the last 4 years of his contract. This reduces his 2021 CAP from 11.4M to 6.9M. Restructure Cody Whitehair´s base salary from 6.5M to 500K by converting it into a 6M signing bonus over the last 4 years of his contract. This reduces his 2021 CAP from 9.6M to 5.1M Restructure Kyle Fuller´s base salary from 13M to 2.5M by converting it into a 10.5M signing bonus over the last 4 years of his contract. This reduces his 2021 CAP from 20M to 12.5M
New CAP = 39.7M + 16.5M = 55M available with 27 players signed.
Free Agency (External Signings) – 3 splash signings QB – Sign Dak Prescott to a 4/150M with 95M guaranteed to include a 40M signing bonus and a 4M salary for 2021. Salary jumps to 28M in 2022. He has been a top 6-8 QB for the past 5 years and had bad luck with an injury in 2020. He is mobile, fast, and has one of the better arms in the NFL. He is TD/INT average was 25/9from 2016-2019 and his prime years are ahead of him. If we can somehow develop a scheme to utilize all the weapons, we should be able to easily put up 30-35 points per game. 14M CAP hit. WR1 – Re-sign ARob to a 5/95M with 55M guaranteed to include a 25M signing bonus and 3M guaranteed salary for 2021. 8M CAP hit. RT – Sign Taylor Moton to a 3/36M with 25M guaranteed to include a 12M signing bonus & 1.5M guaranteed salary in 2021 & 8.5M in 2022. Moton has been the model of consistency over the last three years, grading “in the green” every year as a starter. He performs well in the parts of offensive line play including ranking among the league’s best in PFF pass-blocking grade on true pass set since 2018. As a run blocker, Moton is scheme diverse. He can move defenders at the point of attack as well as making the necessary backside cut-offs in a zone-heavy scheme. He ranks well above average at avoiding negatively graded plays in the run game, another one of the more stable measures of offensive tackle play. Dependability is the name of the game for Moton, who has quietly been one of the most valuable tackles in the league since 2018. 5.5M CAP hit. TE2 – Sign Jonnu Smith to a 4/32M with 23M guaranteed including a 12M signing bonus (1M guaranteed salary) and an opt out after year 2. He is one of the sleepers in this class, has decent size (6.3/250Lbs), can run block, and has 7 TD´s this year. His YAC is particularly good and he can complement Kmet perfectly in 2 TE alignments. 4M CAP hit. WR2 – Nelson Agholor to a 3/10M contract with 6M guaranteed and a 4.5m signing bonus. 2.5M CAP hit. New CAP = 56.2M – 34M = 22.2M available with 31 players signed.
Free Agency (Internal Signings/Own FA´s) – 12 important signings Mario Edwards (DL) – 1YE/2.5M w/ 2M signing bonus. UFA 2.5M CAP hit. Cairos Santos (Kicker) – 1/2M (Prove it deal). UFA 2M CAP hit. Tashaun Gipson (SS) – 1/1.5M. UFA 1.5M CAP hit. Sherrick McManus (CB/ST) – 1/1M. UFA 1M CAP hit Deon Bush (S/ST) – 1/1M. UFA 1M CAP hit. Brent Urban (DL) – 1/1M. UFA 1M CAP hit. Jon Jenkins (NT) – 1/1M. UFA 1M CAP hit. Patrick Scales (LS) – 1/1M. UFA 1M CAP hit. James Vaughters (Edge) – 1/1M. ERFA 1M CAP hit. Alex Bars (IOL) – 1/1m: ERFA 1M CAP hit. Artie Burns (CB) – 1/1M. 1M CAP hit Deandre Houston-Carson (S – ST) 1/500K. .5M CAP HIT.
New CAP = 22.2M – 14.5M = 7.5M available with 43 players signed. We will need 6-7M for rookie pool (bonuses) and contingencies.
Draft picks (The Bears to end up with an 8-8 record and land the 20th pick). With a possible 5 picks in the top 73 we should be able to land them all as day 1 starters. I considered trading up to number 2 to try and get Fields but the cost in draft capital was not worth it.
1-20 2-52 3-73 3-97 (Comp Pick for Champ Kelly hire) 4-120 (From Tenn trade) 5-141 6-172 6 RD COMP Pick # 1 6 RD COMP Pick # 2 6 RD COMP Pick # 3 NFL Draft – 11 picks with 51 players signed Round 1 Pick # 20 – With this pick we select Christian Darrisaw (OT – Virginia: 6.5 315Lbs). Virginia Tech offensive tackle Christian Darrisaw earned the opportunity to start for the Hokies as a true freshman and did nothing but improve for three seasons, developing into a dominant blocker in 2020. From a size, length, and mobility standpoint, Darrisaw firmly checks the boxes and should immediately become an asset to an NFL franchise in pass protection, outside zone runs, and utilizing his exceptional ability to pull and connect with moving targets in space. Like most young offensive linemen, Darrisaw has room to add functional strength to improve his overall power at the point of attack, but it is far from a deficiency that is of major concern. The amount of technical growth Darrisaw has demonstrated throughout the course of his career is exciting when considering his starting point for the next level and how he peaked at the perfect time. It should not take long for Darrisaw to earn a starting role in the NFL and he has the upside to become a standout, franchise left tackle. We can now move Leno to swing tackle and let Darrisaw learn in the trenches during his rookie year. Round 2 Pick # 52 – With this pick we select Marvin Wilson (DT – Florida St: 6.5/315 Lbs). Wilson has a thick, wide, and muscular frame that leaves no doubt he was built to play at the next level in the trenches. I really like his mobility at his size. While he does not have great get off, there is an easy way about the way he moves once he gets going. Hands are extremely powerful, and his blows can be devastating. Stuns pads with his strikes and plays with good extension. Dominates with a club/swim combo as a pass rusher. Wilson does a great job of working to the edges of blockers and powering through the gaps. Easily plays through contact. Incredible ability to split doubles. Flashes plenty of hand swipes and a nasty push-pull move that he deploys from time to time. Has the functional strength to consistently exchange power and remain stout. He will not get moved off his spot 1-v-1 when he is aware of his opponent. There are moments on tape where he simply overwhelms his opponents and easily disposes of them in pursuit. Plays with a consistent motor and he frequently chases plays down from distance. I think he can put on an extra 10-15 pounds and become our new Akiem Hicks. Round 3 Pick # 73 – With this pick we select Jabril Cox (ILB – LSU: 6.4/235 Lbs). Cox is a very toolsy linebacker that grad-transferred from North Dakota State to LSU for the 2020 season. Long, athletic, fluid, quick and explosive. Can run, chase and close distances rapidly. Frequently used by NDSU in an overhang role and he should develop more as an outside/inside backer for LSU in 2020. Missouri Valley Conference Freshman of the Year in 2017. Missouri Valley Conference Defensive Player of the Year in 2018. Two-time FCS All-American. Has plenty of experience playing in man coverage and NDSU regularly had him 1v1 against slot receivers. Flashes the ability to stack and shed blocks but growth is needed taking on and playing through contact. He has the size and upside to replace Trevathan and can cover both running backs & tight ends with his 4.5/4.6 40 time (Great size as well where he can put on an extra 5-8 pounds). Round 3 Pick # 97 – With this pick we select Carlos Basham Jr (Edge/OLB – Wake Forest: 6.5/275 Lbs). Balanced defender with sound ability as a pass rusher and run defender. ID’s blocking schemes quickly, particularly against the run with an understanding of how to counter. Gap-sound defender that understands run fits. Illustrates good rush variety but his best move is the inside rip move. Also features a good spin move, bull rush and club/swim combo. Takes good rush angles and never gets too far up the field. There are plenty of positive reps where he takes a wide-9 alignment, rushes with good tilt and applies pressure. Motor always runs hot. 29 tackles for loss, 14.5 sacks and three forced fumbles across 2018 and 2019. Basham is a modest athlete that is not overly sudden, twitchy, or flexible. Has plenty of initial rush moves but getting to his counters and fleshing out his secondary/ancillary moves is needed. Round 4 Pick # 120 – With this pick we select Sadarious Hutcherson (C/G/IOL – Wake Forest: 6.5/320 Lbs). Raw power is obvious. He absorbs and redirects extremely well and can exchange with anyone. Anchor is firm and there should not be any concerns about the width/depth of the pocket he is responsible for. Versatile - has played both guard and tackle for South Carolina, with experience playing on both sides of the line. He has some high-level reps in space where he can connect with moving targets and seal pursuit. Hutcherson gets top heavy, leading to over-extension, folding at the waste and inability to sustain blocks. Needs to play with better bend and weight distribution so he can stay square and maximize his functional strength. His foot speed appears adequate, but he is tight hipped and it shows up when trying to hinge and redirect his weight. He will be a great diamond in the rough polish for Castillo to train up and develop. Round 5 Pick # 148 – With this pick we select Shi Smith (WR - South Carolina: 5.10/190 Lbs). Smith shows nice flashes with his release package and ability to get off the line of scrimmage efficiently. He has become the focal point of the South Carolina passing offense this season (2020) and is performing at a high level from a production standpoint. He likely projects best into the slot, where his lack of size will be protected and his toughness over the middle can show. He has taken some big hits at the catch point but when he is secured the ball, he is fearless over the middle. South Carolina has run him through screen game and vertically up the field and his ball skills to attack the ball in both phases stand out, offering hope he will translate to any number of passing offenses as well. Some "wow" catches on his reel thanks to body control and sense of timing to high point the football as necessary despite his lack of ideal stature for above the rim targets. He runs a quick 4.4 40 and can replace Miller in 2022 if we decide to go with another option in the slot. Round 6 Pick # 172 – With this pick we select Jamie Newman (QB – Georgia: 6.4/235 Lbs). He is a graduate transfer from Wake Forest. Jamie is a good athlete with good mobility in and out of the pocket. In the run game Jamie is good and he is a threat to get first downs with his legs if the play breaks down. He also demonstrates physical toughness and determination as a runner with the football. In the passing game, he is sufficient as he will hang tough in the pocket when it collapses and has sufficient arm strength. He is much more consistent in the short to intermediate range in terms of accuracy and completions. He demonstrates leadership and earned critical first downs with the game on the line late in the 2019 Duke game. A perfect QB project because of his rawness that can be developed into a solid backup over 2021 to take over for Foles in 2022. But with some incredible luck he may become enough of a prospect to challenge Jones in the 2022 pre-season camp.
See, with my MSU training and degree I got us both Dak & ARob, how is that for collaboration and no controversy. I did it while nobody was looking!!
With the "perfectly wonderful" Ted Phillip and the best "collaboration" sports franchise in the world, we don't even need draft picks. I'd trade all of our 2021 draft picks for a new car for Ted, just to show how much the family loves him. LOL, and after that press conference by George M. gushing about how much the fam loves Ted it looks like he has a Ph.D. in MSU. I've never witnessed better.