Post by malagabears on Sept 16, 2020 11:36:54 GMT -6
1st HOME GAME!!
OK, I am hoping for some real progress this week. Hopefully Mitch plays more consistently and we again score 27-30 points against the Giants. It should be doable if we can run the ball. Hoping we can then do some play action and spread the field once we establish the run. On D, Quinn should be limited this week which should allow for at least 30/40% of the snaps. We used the 4-2-5 version of the 3-4 which didn't perform well against the ghost that is AP. We need Edwards on the front 4 at least on a rotational basis to help stuff the run. Take away the run & pressure Jones, then he becomes prone to fumbling. The 3 headed secondary of Fuller, Johnson, & Jackson should be ready to pounce on any poorly thrown ball. Gipson will hopefully help stack the box with 7/8 defenders to stop Barkley.
Bank on the Giants and Barkley deciding to come out strong. Although it looked liked Pitt said, make Jones beat us, we are 100% selling out top Shaq. Not sure I saw anything that made me think they could even sell out to stop the run.
I think the O starts to click a little better and the Def sharpens some. No reason to not think the Bears cannot score 24-30 pts again.
Bank on the Giants and Barkley deciding to come out strong. Although it looked liked Pitt said, make Jones beat us, we are 100% selling out top Shaq. Not sure I saw anything that made me think they could even sell out to stop the run.
I think the O starts to click a little better and the Def sharpens some. No reason to not think the Bears cannot score 24-30 pts again.
I also think the D will have another (if not a few) game to knock off the rust of very limited padded practices and no pre season. It is what it is but I still think we will miss Goldman as the anchor in the middle a lot more than we expected. I saw Nichols get cleared out of his gap on 2 or 3 plays when AP just shot through the hole created. I think my best hope is that we settle in as a top 10 D and maybe a top 15 O with luck. I think we are going to have the Giants put up 20-24 points, we will just have to outscore them.
Bank on the Giants and Barkley deciding to come out strong. Although it looked liked Pitt said, make Jones beat us, we are 100% selling out top Shaq. Not sure I saw anything that made me think they could even sell out to stop the run.
I think the O starts to click a little better and the Def sharpens some. No reason to not think the Bears cannot score 24-30 pts again.
I also think the D will have another (if not a few) game to knock off the rust of very limited padded practices and no pre season. It is what it is but I still think we will miss Goldman as the anchor in the middle a lot more than we expected. I saw Nichols get cleared out of his gap on 2 or 3 plays when AP just shot through the hole created. I think my best hope is that we settle in as a top 10 D and maybe a top 15 O with luck. I think we are going to have the Giants put up 20-24 points, we will just have to outscore them.
+1
I think you're right on this. It brings me back to the fact that the offense will need to perform at a higher level because the D won't quite be what it was in past seasons. Not quite. So the offense has to step up and score more. None of these 3 point games of last year. The last 3 games of the season we were scoring 12.3ppg. For the season 17.5 points per game. This season we need the offense to be scoring at least 24ppg. To put this into perspective that would put us a bit over the top half of the league last year... somewhere between 16th and 12th would be reasonable. I just think that's what it is going to take with this defense. Sure we can beat (barely) a deadbeat team like the Lions. But most of the other teams are not going to be Lions-level opponents.
Pace and Nagy need to have a success this year and have things pan out for us. I hope so. I'm tired of the clown show on offense we saw last year.
3 catastrophic mistakes to avoid vs. Giants By Ryan Fedrau - September 17th, 2020
The Chicago Bears shocked the world on Sunday when they came back down 17-points against the Lions to secure their first Week 1 victory since 2013. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky didn’t win everybody over with his fourth-quarter performance, but he showed promise for the future. That is something that should excite the Bears’ fanbase.
There are still improvements that need to be made by the team. They’re far from perfect. Luckily for them, they have some easier games to start the season before their schedule gets tougher. That’s where they’ll have to win those easier games and build confidence for when they play tougher teams.
For Chicago to build some much-needed confidence, starting the game with successful first and second drives to set the tempo is key for this team. Scoring on offense and stopping the Giants’ offense could take them out of the game very early.
The Bears struggled to take the Giants out of the game they played last year, even though they won 19-14. This game came down to the wire, which is something Chicago is looking to avoid. A big win where the offense shows up early and the defense shuts down New York will build confidence for the season.
Post by malagabears on Sept 18, 2020 4:34:14 GMT -6
Good recap of the plays where the Steelers front 7 just stopped Barkley cold. If we were assured of Goldman and Quinn being available (obviously no Goldman) then I would be much more optimistic of stopping Barkley, but that is not likely. We have to get penetration and occupy 2 blockers at least. Not likely of Nichols is cleared out and space created by their center when he plays the 0 tech gap. That said if Edwards plays I can hope for more penetration along the line.
Also a good review on how the Pitt´s D is aligned and how they close the gaps on run heavy offenses.
The basic penetration structure is going to allocate a lot of the glory to the front-4 (or 5 in heavy packages). Dupree, Heyward, Tuitt, Watt, and the occasional complement will be expected to burst through the offensive line on their way to the Quarterback, playing the run as they go. That is an old-fashioned 4-3 approach, but it will be done with the two pass rush specialists falling back into coverage more than L.C. Greenwood and Dwight White ever dreamed. Expect the sack numbers to continue.
That means the hard mental work, team discipline, and clean up duty will fall to the midfield layer. In a classic 4-3 that would be three Linebackers and a Box Safety. In a LeBeau 3-4 it would be the two ILB’s and the Box Safety, with rotating help from a random OLB. Four players either way.
In the 2020 defense I expect the midfield defenders to consist of two starters – Devin Bush and Terrell Edmunds, who will lead the team in tackling by a good margin – plus anywhere from 1-3 helpers according to the particular sub package. These will include Mike Hilton as the slot Corner in Nickel (unless Sutton can take over), Vince Williams and Watt/Dupree in the classic 3-4 look, Ulysses Gilbert III in the light 3-4 look, or an extra box Safety in the Big Nickel look. None of those package players will rack up huge numbers individually. How could they, with the snaps so well divided? But it would not be surprising to see “Mr. Midfield Package Player” end up with a number that’s just a little short of Bush and Edmunds when you add them all together.
The Corners will have cleanup duties of a different kind. All that midfield speed exists to shrink windows as much as making plays. Shrinking windows in the midfield means that opposing QB’s will be forced to look toward the sidelines. I accordingly expect our outside Corners to get tested more often than their skill level would suggest. This will no doubt include the occasional deep ball, but also a lot of fairly safe back shoulder stuff.
The difference maker in the back end will be Minkah Fitzpatrick. I foresee a lot of articles and knowing comments on how Fitzpatrick “created” a big play for Nelson and Haden. Corners have to cede those back shoulder throws if they don’t have a playmaker roaming behind them. With Fitzpatrick they can risk it, jumping on a shorter route without fear of getting burned over the top. The reverse will be true too, though less reported. Playmaking Free Safeties can only afford to jump midfield routes if they have enough confidence in the Corners to abandon the “deeper than the deepest” role.
What will it look like in terms of plays? Innumerable shifting formations and disguises, using the skill and brains of Edmunds and the Corners to free up the Minkah Fitzpatrick X-factor.